Intelligence analysis is the process by which the information collected from multiple sources is used to assess threats in the environment such as terrorism, transnational/ organized crimes and other threats to personal and public safety. But this is a complex task given the international developments, incomplete and ambiguous information amid proliferation of “fake news,” and the inherent limitations of the human mind. The Centre for Intelligence Research and Analyses (CIRA) seeks to promote thought leadership and research in the field of intelligence studies.
There is an abundance of intelligence sources in the environment, including covert sources such as satellite intelligence (IMINT), signal intelligence (SIGINT), and human intelligence (HUMINT) to overt sources such as open-source intelligence (OSINT) and even social media intelligence (SOCMINT). It is the later that continues to remain as the single largest source of all intelligence. But this requires painstaking research using quantitative and qualitative tools and techniques, much like separating “wheat from the chaff” to identify tiny nuggets of actionable intelligence. To this end the CIRA will promote the study of quantitative tools and statistical analysis.
The CIRA will endeavour to collect, collate and analyse OSINT including satellite imagery analysis to provide global threat assessments and predict future scenarios. The Centre will also promote satellite imagery analysis in collaboration with industry partners.
The CIRA will also aim to create an open-access database of incidents of political violence and conflicts in the Indo-Pacific region in partnership with the industry leaders in the risk consulting domain.