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B.A. (Psychology) (University of Mumbai);

M.A.; M.Phil.; Ph.D. (School of International Studies, Jawaharlal Nehru University)

Dr. Avinash Anil Godbole

Professor and Associate Academic Dean

Email agodbole@jgu.edu.in
Connect with me
ORCID ID 0000-0002-6545-1211
Key Expertise China Studies, East Asian Studies, Asian Security, International Relations Theory, India's Foreign Policy, Politics of Climate Change

B.A. (Psychology) (University of Mumbai);

M.A.; M.Phil.; Ph.D. (School of International Studies, Jawaharlal Nehru University)

Biography

Bio: Dr. Avinash Anil Godbole is Professor and Associate Academic Dean at JSLH. Previously he was Research Fellow at the ICWA and before that he was Research Assistant at IDSA. His doctoral thesis is on the Political Economy of China’s Environment. He was a Visiting Fox Fellow at the Macmillan Center at Yale in 2007-08. His research interests are in the fields of Chinese Foreign Policy, Environmental Changes in China, Minorities in China, Domestic Politics in China, China’s Asia strategy and India-China Relations. He has written extensively on these subjects in academic and media publications. He has been part of the India-China Think tank Forum and has been involved in various other track 1.5 and track 2 events. He is also a Visiting Faculty at the Naval War College, Goa since June 2020. He is also a reviewer for Springer Asia, Routledge, and for various journals on Foreign and Security Policy. 

Theories of International Relations

China's Foreign Policy

Critical Concepts in Peace and Security

Indian and Western Political Thought

Foundation Course in Political Science

Ashoka China India Fellowship 2021-22

Fox International Fellowship, Yale, 2007-08

Visiting Faculty, Naval War College, Goa

Visiting Faculty, SIRSS, Mumbai University

“Climate change and the Bay of Bengal region: vulnerabilities, risks and the absent cooperation”, Australian Journal of Maritime and Ocean Affairs, (special issue on Bay of Bengal) 2024, Published Online 18 April 2024, Doi: https://doi.org/10.1080/18366503.2024.2342606

“China’s Environment and Energy performance under Xi Jinping”, in Madhu Bhalla and Sanjeev Kumar (eds) Xi Jinping’s Chinese Dream: Foreign Policy, Politics and Development, forthcoming June/July 2024

Party Of One: The Rise of Xi Jinping and China’s Superpower Future by Chun Han Wong, The Book Review, May 2024, Volume 48, No.5.

“After the NPC: Where does China go from here?”, ISDP Voices 18, 22 March 2024, at: https://isdp.eu/wp-content/uploads/2024/03/Blog-18-Godbole2.pdf

“China's 2024 NPC: What to Expect?”, ISDP voices 12 4 March 2024, at: https://isdp.eu/wp-content/uploads/2024/03/Blog-12-Godbole.pdf.

“India doesn’t need wolf warriors Domestic sentiments will exacerbate India’s foreign policy challenge”, The Hindu, January 17, 2024, at: https://www.thehindu.com/opinion/op-ed/india-doesnt-need-wolf-warriors/article67744045.ece

Chinese Sojourners in Wartime Raj, 1942-45 by Cao Yin, The Book Review, August 2023, Volume 47, No 8. “Post G20 India vs China — ‘harmonious world’ vs ‘vasudhaiva kutumbakam’”, The Indian Express, 15 September 2023, at: https://indianexpress.com/article/opinion/columns/post-g20-india-vs-china-harmonious-world-vs-vasudhaiva-kutumbakam-8941479/

“China’s economic slowdown, its ripple effect”, The Hindu, 2 September 2023, at: https://www.thehindu.com/opinion/lead/chinas-economic-slowdown-its-ripple-effect/article67260804.ece

China’s Dual Circulation Strategy: Origins and Progress, Jindal Journal of Public Policy, 6 (2), DOI: https://doi.org/10.54945/jjpp.v6iII.137 (2022)

“Harnessing India-ASEAN Synergies in the Indo-Pacific”, ASEAN India Centre, Research Commentary, No 22, March 2022, at: https://aseanindiacentre.org.in/sites/default/files/2022-04/AIC%20commentary%20March%202022.pdf

China Risen? Studying Chinese Global Power: Shaun Breslin, Strategic Analysis, March 2022

“China’s takeaways from the war”, The Hindu, 9 March 2022. URL: https://www.thehindu.com/opinion/op-ed/chinas-takeaways-from-the-russia-ukraine-war/article65205249.ece

Leadership and Rise of Great Powers by Yan Xuetong, The Book Review, March 2021.

China Ascendant: Its Rise and Implications, Harsh Pan (ed.), India Quarterly, January 2021.

Understanding the Chinese Communist Party at 100, 24 June 2021, The Week, https://www.theweek.in/news/world/2021/06/24/opinion-understanding-the-chinese-communist-party-at-100.html

What choices will China make at Glasgow climate summit?, The Indian Express, 29 October 2021, URL: https://indianexpress.com/article/opinion/columns/china-glasgow-climate-summit-xi-jinping-7597634/

The Evergrande-sized question over Chinese politics, The Hindu, 30 October 2021, URL: https://www.thehindu.com/opinion/op-ed/the-evergrande-sized-question-over-chinese-politics/article37241900.ece

गलवान संघर्ष : अनुत्तरित प्रश्नोपप्रश्न (Galwan and the unanswered questions), Loksatta Marathi, 2o June 2021, at https://www.loksatta.com/lokrang-news/india-and-china-relations-after-one-year-at-galwan-clash-zws-70-2503712/

भारत-चीन : दृष्टिकोन आणि दूरदृष्टी (India-China, Vision and Perspectives), Loksatta, Marathi, 18 February 2021, at https://www.loksatta.com/vishesh-news/article-on-india-china-perspectives-and-vision-abn-97-2403030/

“The Difficulty of being Xi Jinping” in Chinese Politics and Foreign Policy under Xi Jinping, Jagannath Panda and Arthur Ding (eds), 2020, Routledge, London, pp. 85-101.

China’s Communist Party And Its Social Contract Under Xi Jinping, 9dashline, 24 September 2020, https://www.9dashline.com/article/the-communist-party-and-its-social-contract-under-xi-jinping

A long view of China’s Iran deal, Deccan Herald, 23 July 2020 Jointly with Dr. Gunjan Singh, at: https://www.deccanherald.com/opinion/a-long-view-of-china-s-iran-deal-864535.html

गलवान : काळ्या दगडावरची रेघ, Loksatta Marathi, 28 june 2020, https://www.loksatta.com/lokrang-news/galwan-valley-india-china-relationship-dd-70-2199278/

COVID-19 will activate old & new disputes in East Asia, Deccan Herald, 25 May 2020 at: https://www.deccanherald.com/opinion/covid-19-will-activate-old-new-disputes-in-east-asia-841664.html

Expect more Chinese focus on BRI in post-coronavirus world, Deccan Herald, 13 April 2020 at: https://www.deccanherald.com/opinion/expect-more-chinese-focus-on-bri-in-post-coronavirus-world-824772.html

India’s Chinese model bound to fail, Asia Times, 13-Jan-20, at: https://www.asiatimes.com/2020/01/opinion/indias-chinese-model-bound-to-fail/?_=3543308

‘चीनी मॉडेल’चे आकर्षण धोकादायक, ORF Marathi, 06-Jan-2020 at: https://www.orfonline.org/marathi/mirage-created-by-the-chinese-59884

“Stability in Xi Era: Trends in Ethnic Policy in Xinjiang and Tibet since 2012, India Quarterly, 75 (2) June 2019, pp. 228-244.

The Immigration Debate; review of BLAMING IMMIGRANTS: NATIONALISM AND THE ECONOMICS OF GLOBAL MOVEMENT, Neeraj Kaushal, The Book Review, September 2019.

बगदादी गेला; पुढे काय?, Loksatta Marathi, All editions, 03-Nov-2019 at: https://www.loksatta.com/lokrang-news/article-on-isis-abu-bakr-al-baghdadi-killed-in-a-suicide-bombing-abn-97-2007073/?fbclid=IwAR3rN4HLI8ikgLof0TVK69TV4dckpyqLEx9o1aGsySkLotr8GHSLcPGnumk

हांगकांग की पहचान का संघर्ष, Prabhat Khabar, 21 August 2019, https://www.prabhatkhabar.com/news/columns/hong-kong-identity-conflict/1320031.html

चीन के सत्तर साल और चुनौतियां, Prabhat Khabar 03 October 2019 https://www.prabhatkhabar.com/news/columns/china-seventy-years-challenges/1335757.html

“भारत-चीनचे ‘तुझे माझे जमेना…’(on the complexities of India China relations today), 19 January 2019, at: https://www.orfonline.org/marathi/india-china-47486/

काश्मीरचे विलीनीकरण म्हणजे काय?, ORF Marathi 07-Aug-2019, at: https://www.orfonline.org/marathi/what-is-the-merger-of-kashmir-54217/?fbclid=IwAR1T6QYWtO0k6Iw6E4UjCcGgrXyHKgy9NN3MYL108dJOB3gUJJPoXkZzkjo

Iron Fist for the New Era: How Xi Rules China, review essay on Mr. Jayadev Ranade’s Cadres of Tibet and Xi Jinping’s China, India Quarterly 74 (3), July 2018, p. 343-346.

Safeguarding Indo Pacific from Trump’s Disruptive Tactics, STS Forum, Manipal University, 31 October 2018, at: http://stsfor.org/content/safeguarding-indo-pacific-trumps-disruptive-tactics

China’s National People’s Congress to ratify the Xi era, Asia Times, 5 March 2018, URL: https://www.asiatimes.com/2018/03/opinion/chinas-national-peoples-congress-ratify-xi-era/?_=3954305

चीन की विकास दर में उम्मीद से अधिक बढ़ोतरी (on the economic growth rates in China), Special Article, Prabhat Khabar, 19 April 2019, https://www.prabhatkhabar.com/news/vishesh-aalekh/china-growth-rate-more-hike-year-2018-top-country/1146166.html

India-China dialogue: A repeat of 1993?, The Week, 24 April 2018, URL: https://www.theweek.in/news/india/2018/04/24/india-china-dialogue-a-repeat-of-1993.html

Xi Jinping’s Power: Real or Hyped, Asia Times, 26 April 2018, http://www.atimes.com/xi-jinpings-power-real-or-hyped/

China’s Evolving Foreign Policy in Xi Jinping Era, 30 June 2018, Asia Times, URL: http://www.atimes.com/chinas-evolving-foreign-policy-in-the-xi-jinping-era/

India-China relations enriched by Vajpayee’s legacy, Asia Times, 27 August 2018, URL: https://www.asiatimes.com/2018/08/opinion/india-china-relations-enriched-by-vajpayees-legacy/

भारत-चीन संबंध आणि वाजपेयींचा वारसा, (On the Vajpayee Legacy in India China relations), 3 December 2018, at: https://www.orfonline.org/marathi/indo-china-relations-181208/

Why are Asia’s Reformist leaders struggling to reform, Asia Times, 28 December, at: https://www.asiatimes.com/2018/12/opinion/why-are-asias-reformist-leaders-struggling-to-reform/

The New Principal Contradiction in China: Significance and Possible Outcomes, Issue Brief, ICWA, 22 December 2017.

China’s Two Sessions, Major Observations, Issue Brief, ICWA, 6 July 2017.

“Paris Accord and China’s Climate Change Strategy”, India Quarterly, 72 (4), December 2016, pp. 361-374.

“Terrorism and Unrest in China’s Xinjiang: Drivers, Policies and External Linkages”, co-authored with Gunjan Singh, in S. D. Muni and Vivek Chaddha (eds.), Asian Strategic Review 2016, Terrorism: Emerging Trends, New Delhi Pentagon Press, pp. 313-330.

China Pakistan Axis, Andrew Small, Reviewed in India Quarterly, October 2016.

China’s Sixth Plenum; Analysing the Outcomes, Issue Brief, ICWA, 9 November 2016.

Gambia’s Diplomatic Switch: Significance for China-Taiwan relations”, ICWA Viewpoint, 8 April 2016.

“India and China: Competition and Cooperation in the Evolving Asian Security Scenario”, Asian Strategic Review, S.D. Muni and Vivek Chaddha (eds.), 2015 New Delhi: Pentagon Press, pp. 230-249.

Challenges And Variables, Book Review of India’s National Security, Annual Review 2013 Satish Kumar (ed), pp. 13-14 in The Book Review, March 2015.

China’s Victory Day Celebrations, Politics of War, Memory and Legitimacy,4 September 2015,IDSA Commentary

Narendra Modi and Xi Jinping: Different yet Same?, 13 May 2015, IDSA Issue Brief

US-India Relations after the Obama Visit, 29 January 2015, The Strategist Blog by ASPI.

Did the Chinese Model of Growth defeat Rajapaksha? 12 January 2015, IDSA Commentary

“सहकार्याची अपेक्षा; तपशीलवार” , (Backgrounder to President Obama's India visit), Loksatta, Op-ed, Mumbai, Pune and Nashik Editions, 22 January 2015

“2014, The Year of Questions in China’s Domestic Politics”, in Prashant Singh (ed), China Yearbook 2014,IDSA& Magnum Books, pp. 11-21.

China’s Political Transition Phase II; Consolidation of Power and Contours of the New Ideology” in Naval Jagota (ed.), China Year Book 2013, 2014 IDSA, New Delhi pp. 5-12.

Hong Kong Protests: What it means for the Chinese Leadership?,10 October 2014, IDSA Commentary

China’s Asia Strategy and President Xi’s Visit to India, 18 September 2014, CSC-IITM

Xinjiang Conflict and its Changing Nature, 14 August 2014, CSC-IITM

Hong Kong Elections: Limitations of One Country, Two Systems Model, 28 March 2014, IDSA Commentary

“हिंदी चीनी नेमके काय ?”,(President Xi Jinping’s visit to India: What to expect?) Loksatta Op-ed, 18 September 2014

राष्ट्रिय संरक्षणाचा किमान कार्यक्रम (Defence Policy Agenda for the Next Government), Loksatta, 22 May 2014

नव्या सरकार पुढील परराष्ट्र धोरण (Foreign Policy Agenda for the Next Government) Prabhat, Pune, 16 May 2014.

Third Plenum of the 18th Central Committee: Context and Significance, 5 December 2013, CSC-IITM

China's White Paper on Human Rights: Some Reflections, 28 May 2013,IDSA Commentary.

Beijing is Choking (and can’t hide it anymore), 15 January 2013, IDSA Commentary.

चीन: महत्त्वाच्या घडामोडी (important developments in China), Prabhat, Pune, 24 March 2013.

“Politics in China in 2012: Systemic Incrementalism and Beyond” in Rukmani Gupta (ed.), China Year Book 2012, IDSA, New Delhi pp. 11-16

Is China Buying the World (2012), Peter Nolan, Polity Press, Reviewed for East Asian Integration Studies

Change of Guard in China; The Context and the Actors, 12 November 2012,IDSA Commentary.

1962: A war to remember or forget?,8 November 2012,CSC- IITM

Alienated People and Overcautious State in China’s Xinjiang, 9 August 2012, IDSA Commentary.

China’s Xinjiang Problem, the 2009 Riots and its Aftermath, Issue Brief, 20 April, 2012,IDSA Website

“China's Political Landscape: Preparing for Transition”, in Mandip Singh (ed.), China Year Book 2011, IDSA; New Delhi; pp. 101-110

China, the United States and Global Order (2011), Rosemary Foot and Andrew Walter, Cambridge University Press, Reviewed for East Asian Integration Studies

History and Politics; Critiquing the PRC’s Approach to the 1911 Centenary Celebrations, 13 October 2011, available at IDSA website

China's Aircraft Carrier: Some Observations, 21 April, 2011, jointly with Sarabjeet Parmar, available at IDSA Website

Hu Jintao’s US Visit and Obama’s State of the Union Address: What are India’s takeaways?,4 February 2011, available at http://opinionasia.com/node/861

Making China-India peace eternal, China Daily, December 14, 2011 at http://www.chinadaily.com.cn/cndy/2011-12/14/content_14261155.htm.

Building Sustainable Peace; An Agenda for India China Military Dialogue, China Daily, June 20, 2011, available at http://www.chinadaily.com.cn/cndy/2011-12/14/content_14261155.htm.

चीनचा भारतविरोधी कांगावा (Marathi article titled China’s Foul Cry against India), Maharashtra Times, 29 September 2011, available at http://maharashtratimes.indiatimes.com/articleshow/10164394.cms

China’s Relations with South Asia; Why Is India Weary? Coauthored with Gunjan Singh, Harvard Asia Quarterly, March 2011, p. 32-40.

“The Role of Civil Society in Countering Terrorism” (2010) in Gurmeet Kanwal and N. Manoharan (eds.) India’s War on Terror, Knowledge World Publishers for the Centre for Land Warfare Studies, New Delhi; pp. 221-234.

Indian Diplomacy in 2009; Watershed or Hyperbole?, IPCS Issue Brief No 139; February 2010, available online at IPCS

Peninsular Shells and the Chinese Dilemma, 6 December 2010, available at http://opinionasia.com/node/844

Why PRC does not like Liu’s Nobel Prize?, IFPS, Calcutta University, 28 October 2010, available Calcutta University

China Watch: Some Observations on the 5th Plenary Session of the 17th Party Congress, 28 October 2010, available at http://opinionasia.com/node/830

China’s Kashmir Calculus: alternative explanations, 7 September 2010, available atNational Interest Blog

Does China's Economic Power translate into Great Power Status?, 25 August 2010, available at http://opinionasia.com/ChinaEconomicGreatPower.

Industrial and Environmental Disasters inside the Global Giant: Is something wrong with the Chinese development model?, 20 August 2010, IDSA Commentary.

A Year since Xinjiang Riots: Are the fault lines manageable?, 9 July 2010, available at, IDSA Commentary

A Year Since Xinjiang Riots: Regional Consequences July 2010, IPCS Commentary

Ideology sans Jargon? Contextualising Xi Jinping’s Politics of Simplification,24 May 2010, IDSA Commentary

Rise as a Great Power is a matter of how, not when, South China Morning Post, Insight Page, 31 August 2010.

Global Giant, Is China changing the rules of the game? (2009), Eva Paus, Penelope B. Prime and John Western (eds.), New York; Palgrave Macmillan forthcoming in Strategic Analysis, Vol. 34, No. 5, September-October, 2010.

Interview on the Current Status of India Pakistan Tensions (in Marathi), Maharashtra Times, Web and Mumbai Edition, 7 January, 2009, available at: http://maharashtratimes.indiatimes.com/articleshow/3943509.cms

Bioterrorism Confronting A Complex Threat, Andreas Wenger and Reto Wollenmann (eds), 2008, Viva Books Ltd., CBW Magazine, October-December 2008, 2 (1)
Email agodbole@jgu.edu.in
ORCID ID 0000-0002-6545-1211
Key Expertise China Studies, East Asian Studies, Asian Security, International Relations Theory, India's Foreign Policy, Politics of Climate Change
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